Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics /
Fukuyama, Francis
text
Washington : Brookings Institution Press ,
2007
ind
Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors.
Dewasa
Emergency management
Manajemen Keadaan Darurat
URN:ISBN:9780815729907