Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / Fukuyama, Francis text Washington : Brookings Institution Press , 2007 ind Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors. Dewasa Emergency management Manajemen Keadaan Darurat URN:ISBN:9780815729907