na JAKPU-12110000000203 20111226024438.0 ind 9780815729907 010-121100000000201 JKPU DKI ENG 363.34 Blindside : how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / editor, Francis Fukuyama Washington : Brookings Institution Press , 2007 vi, 198 p. Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors. Dewasa Emergency management Manajemen Keadaan Darurat Beli Fukuyama, Francis BPAD DKI 50558/11