Tag
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Ind1
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Ind2
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Isi
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001
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JAKPU-12110000000203
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005
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20111226024438.0
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008
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***********************************ind**
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020
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#
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#
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$a 9780815729907
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035
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#
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#
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0010-121100000000201
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040
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#
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#
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$a JKPU DKI
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041
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0
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#
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$a ENG
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082
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#
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0
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$a 363.34
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245
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#
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#
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$a Blindside : $b how to anticipate forcing events and wild cards in global politics / $c editor, Francis Fukuyama
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260
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$a Washington : $b Brookings Institution Press , $c 2007
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300
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#
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$a vi, 198 p.
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520
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3
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#
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$a Focuses on developing analytical tools to anticipate and manage low-probability events. Addresses psychological and institutional obstacles preventing planning for low-probability tragedies and allocating necessary resources. Pinpoints failures---institutional and personal---that allowed events to surprise leaders and examines philosophies and methodologies of forecasting. Discusses low-probability, high-impact contingencies in various sectors.
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521
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1
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#
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$a Dewasa
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650
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#
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0
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$a Emergency management
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650
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#
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0
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$a Manajemen Keadaan Darurat
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659
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#
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#
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$a Beli
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700
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1
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#
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$a Fukuyama, Francis
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852
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#
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#
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$a BPAD DKI
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990
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#
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#
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$a 50558/11
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